Posts Tagged ‘ confirmation bias

Three day lunch

Three day lunch

There are times when market psychology is particularly sensitive to new information. You may create an edge for yourself by identifying when this is likely to happen. There’s of course no such thing as a free lunch, however some of you may be familiar with three day lunches…
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Algo vs. SentiTrade

Algo vs. SentiTrade

Algorithmic trading, aka algo-, black-box or robo-trading is using automated computer software to create market orders. The computer algorithm decides on timing, price, position sizing and can be executed without human intervention. In recent years, large pension funds and institutional traders have implemented algo-trading to minimize market impact, i.e. divide large trades into smaller orders. Read more

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Sentiment momentum as the fat lady sings

Sentiment momentum as the fat lady sings

Following our mention of sentiment “trigger points” last week, we received several questions on how SentiTrade identifies momentum in market psychology. Normally, trigger points refer to psychological price levels that will “trigger” certain behaviors. For example, if prices of gasoline suddenly rose to €2 per liter, it is reasonable to assume that driving patterns will change. The cost of driving traditional cars, may furthermore “trigger” an increase in sales of hybrid- and electric cars. Read more

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It’s your nucleus accumbens, stupid!

It’s your nucleus accumbens, stupid!

The basic concept of market psychology is explaining the following behavior: “Everyone else is doing it, so… perhaps I should be doing it too!” Sounds familiar? No one wants to be left behind as everyone else is raking in the cash and while everyone is trying to get in the door at the same time, prices escalate to new highs. Read more

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Behavioral finance & cognitive dissonance

Behavioral finance & cognitive dissonance

Behavioral finance focuses on the psychological aspects of investing. Specifically, it studies how our emotions affect financial decision making. As investors we take decisions based on data analysis and judgement of risk. However, the natural qualities of the brain also influence us. Subconsciously we apply rational and emotional reasons to justify our actions. Such reasoning is often based on subjective perceptions, not on objective observations, leading intelligent and well informed individuals to the wrong decisions. Read more

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