Posts Tagged ‘ ECB

Free lunch? Not in September

Free lunch? Not in September

It’s a well kept secret that September for the past 60+ years has been the worst performing month on the stock market. Despite two massive crashes in the month of October, statistically, the worst month to be on the market is right now. Tobias Levkovich of City Investment Research and Analysis recently published the following chart, that outlines average month-by-month performance for each month since 1950: Read more

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Market psychology: Belief, truth and divergence

Market psychology: Belief, truth and divergence

Since beginning of May we have detected steadily declining market psychology levels. The DAX however, followed this trend for only one month; in May It fell from 6700 to just below 6000. While SentiTrade’s calculation of positive vs. negative financial news, our market sentiment quotient (SQ), continued to fall. The DAX however, started moving in a sideways pattern before again approaching the 7000 mark. Although ever more pessimistic news keep coming in, the market is once again testing this level. We are now faced with the following questions: Read more

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Negative QE3 momentum

Negative QE3 momentum

With SentiTrade you not only get a feel for the latest market sentiment and psychology, our tagclouds also automatically track which news events were the driving force behind the latest trends. Yesterday one could clearly see how a rapidly falling market sentiment (green line) pre-dated the market market trend. The falling sentiment momentum (red line) quantified the trend and by the time Bernanke delivered the disappointing news  at 16.00, the market was already poised for a sell-off… Read more

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