Posts Tagged ‘ Greek default

Market Psychology Turning Point

Market Psychology Turning Point

The past few weeks, we published several posts on market psychology and how SentiTrade has detected frequent mood swings in financial news publications. Some eagerly reported on a “positive outlook” following the market recovery and “improving numbers” from the U.S. Others however, noted slowing Chinese growth, a “worse than expected” situation in Europe and uncertainty with regard to energy costs. Read more

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Futures Trading The News

Futures Trading The News

The week is packed with events that could bring about major moves in futures trading. Nervous anticipation was detected in SentiTrade’s volatility index already last week, a jump of 5% on Friday alone (see illustration below). We think the increasingly frequent swings from positive to negative news relate to tomorrow’s labour day celebration, upcoming elections in France and Greece, and the Q1 earning reports. Read more

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Market sentiment; a powerful trend detector

Market sentiment; a powerful trend detector

The current situation is frequently compared to the Lehman days. At SentiTrade, we looked a bit further into the data from 2008/09 and identified an interesting trend pattern. Once a downward sentiment trend reversed 15% from its low point, one may identify a positive change in market psychology. As for the Lehman scenario, we reached a low SentiTrade moving average of 0,48 on Dec. 11th 2008. Read more

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